Some Confidence Is Lacking In SKF India Limited's (NSE:SKFINDIA) P/E
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 48.5x SKF India Limited (NSE:SKFINDIA) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 33x and even P/E's lower than 19x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, SKF India has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will improve markedly. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for SKF India
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on SKF India.Is There Enough Growth For SKF India?
SKF India's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.1%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 85% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 12% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 21% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it concerning that SKF India is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From SKF India's P/E?
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that SKF India currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for SKF India that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than SKF India. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:SKFINDIA
SKF India
Provides bearings technology and solutions to industrial and automotive sectors in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.