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There's Reason For Concern Over Salzer Electronics Limited's (NSE:SALZERELEC) Massive 25% Price Jump
Despite an already strong run, Salzer Electronics Limited (NSE:SALZERELEC) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 176% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Salzer Electronics' P/E ratio of 32.7x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in India is also close to 31x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Earnings have risen firmly for Salzer Electronics recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Salzer Electronics
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Salzer Electronics, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Growth For Salzer Electronics?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Salzer Electronics' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 25% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 68% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it interesting that Salzer Electronics is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From Salzer Electronics' P/E?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Salzer Electronics' P/E is also back up to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Salzer Electronics currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Salzer Electronics (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're unsure about the strength of Salzer Electronics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:SALZERELEC
Salzer Electronics
Manufactures and supplies CAM operated rotary switches, selector switches, wiring ducts, voltmeter switches, copper wires and cables, and allied products primarily in India.
Proven track record with mediocre balance sheet.