Stock Analysis

New Forecasts: Here's What Analysts Think The Future Holds For NBCC (India) Limited (NSE:NBCC)

NSEI:NBCC
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NBCC (India) Limited (NSE:NBCC) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the covering analyst making substantial upgrades to next year's forecasts. Consensus estimates suggest investors could expect greatly increased statutory revenues and earnings per share, with the analyst modelling a real improvement in business performance.

Following the upgrade, the latest consensus from NBCC (India)'s one analyst is for revenues of ₹113b in 2023, which would reflect a huge 43% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to jump 366% to ₹7.00. Previously, the analyst had been modelling revenues of ₹85b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹1.80 in 2023. There has definitely been an improvement in perception recently, with the analyst substantially increasing both their earnings and revenue estimates.

Check out our latest analysis for NBCC (India)

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NSEI:NBCC Earnings and Revenue Growth May 14th 2022

It will come as no surprise to learn that the analyst has increased their price target for NBCC (India) 42% to ₹61.00 on the back of these upgrades. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values NBCC (India) at ₹82.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹40.00. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's clear from the latest estimates that NBCC (India)'s rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 33% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2023 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 2.3% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 13% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that NBCC (India) is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away from this upgrade is that the analyst upgraded their earnings per share estimates for next year, expecting improving business conditions. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for next year, and sales are expected to grow faster than the wider market. With a serious upgrade to expectations and a rising price target, it might be time to take another look at NBCC (India).

Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2024, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NBCC (India) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.