Stock Analysis

Here's Why Kriti Industries (India) (NSE:KRITI) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

NSEI:KRITI
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Kriti Industries (India) Limited (NSE:KRITI) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Kriti Industries (India)

How Much Debt Does Kriti Industries (India) Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Kriti Industries (India) had ₹1.37b of debt, up from ₹1.13b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹249.4m, its net debt is less, at about ₹1.12b.

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NSEI:KRITI Debt to Equity History January 16th 2025

How Strong Is Kriti Industries (India)'s Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kriti Industries (India) had liabilities of ₹2.71b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹628.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹249.4m as well as receivables valued at ₹435.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹2.66b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Kriti Industries (India) is worth ₹6.83b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Kriti Industries (India)'s net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.8 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 3.7 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. If Kriti Industries (India) can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 11% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kriti Industries (India) will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Considering the last two years, Kriti Industries (India) actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

Kriti Industries (India)'s struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. But on the bright side, its ability to to grow its EBIT isn't too shabby at all. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Kriti Industries (India)'s debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Kriti Industries (India) has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kriti Industries (India) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.