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KEC International Limited's (NSE:KEC) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce
KEC International Limited (NSE:KEC) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 99%.
After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 32x, you may consider KEC International as a stock to avoid entirely with its 78.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
KEC International certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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KEC International's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 124% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 13% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 49% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why KEC International is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has got KEC International's P/E rushing to great heights as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of KEC International's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with KEC International (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on KEC International, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:KEC
KEC International
Engages in the engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) business.
Reasonable growth potential with proven track record and pays a dividend.