Stock Analysis

Kajaria Ceramics Limited's (NSE:KAJARIACER) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

NSEI:KAJARIACER
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Kajaria Ceramics Limited's (NSE:KAJARIACER) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 47.3x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 31x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Kajaria Ceramics has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Kajaria Ceramics

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:KAJARIACER Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 1st 2024
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How Is Kajaria Ceramics' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Kajaria Ceramics' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 29% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 85% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 23% during the coming year according to the analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 24% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that Kajaria Ceramics' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Kajaria Ceramics' P/E

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Kajaria Ceramics currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Kajaria Ceramics that you need to be mindful of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Kajaria Ceramics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Kajaria Ceramics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.