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- NSEI:IRB
Investors in IRB Infrastructure Developers (NSE:IRB) have seen strong returns of 278% over the past five years
When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. For example, the IRB Infrastructure Developers Limited (NSE:IRB) share price has soared 270% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. The last week saw the share price soften some 2.8%.
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Over half a decade, IRB Infrastructure Developers managed to grow its earnings per share at 71% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 30% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days. The reasonably low P/E ratio of 3.84 also suggests market apprehension.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
It is of course excellent to see how IRB Infrastructure Developers has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. This free interactive report on IRB Infrastructure Developers' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, IRB Infrastructure Developers' TSR for the last 5 years was 278%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
We regret to report that IRB Infrastructure Developers shareholders are down 29% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 1.4%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 30%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with IRB Infrastructure Developers (at least 2 which are concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Indian exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:IRB
IRB Infrastructure Developers
Engages in the infrastructure development business in India.
Very undervalued with proven track record.
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