Stock Analysis

Goyal Aluminiums Limited (NSE:GOYALALUM) Stocks Pounded By 65% But Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

NSEI:GOYALALUM
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The Goyal Aluminiums Limited (NSE:GOYALALUM) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 65%. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Goyal Aluminiums may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 79x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 24x and even P/E's lower than 12x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Goyal Aluminiums as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Goyal Aluminiums

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:GOYALALUM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 6th 2023
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Goyal Aluminiums will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Growth For Goyal Aluminiums?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Goyal Aluminiums would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 100% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 200% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Goyal Aluminiums is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Goyal Aluminiums' P/E

Goyal Aluminiums' shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Goyal Aluminiums maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Goyal Aluminiums that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Goyal Aluminiums' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Goyal Aluminiums is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.