Pinning Down Engineers India Limited's (NSE:ENGINERSIN) P/E Is Difficult Right Now

It's not a stretch to say that Engineers India Limited's (NSE:ENGINERSIN) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in India, where the median P/E ratio is around 27x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

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While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Engineers India's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

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Is There Some Growth For Engineers India?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Engineers India's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 20%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 396% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 13% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 24%.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Engineers India's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining earnings are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Engineers India currently trades on a higher than expected P/E for a company whose earnings are forecast to decline. When we see a poor outlook with earnings heading backwards, we suspect share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Engineers India.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Engineers India, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.