Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Cords Cable Industries Limited (NSE:CORDSCABLE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Cords Cable Industries
How Much Debt Does Cords Cable Industries Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Cords Cable Industries had debt of ₹811.8m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from ₹866.9m over a year. On the flip side, it has ₹202.3m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹609.5m.
A Look At Cords Cable Industries' Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Cords Cable Industries had liabilities of ₹1.24b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹191.9m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹202.3m and ₹1.11b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹112.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Since publicly traded Cords Cable Industries shares are worth a total of ₹562.4m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
While Cords Cable Industries has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.9, its interest cover seems weak, at 1.6. This does have us wondering if the company pays high interest because it is considered risky. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Importantly, Cords Cable Industries's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 30% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Cords Cable Industries's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Cords Cable Industries recorded free cash flow worth 65% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
While Cords Cable Industries's interest cover makes us cautious about it, its track record of (not) growing its EBIT is no better. At least its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gives us reason to be optimistic. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Cords Cable Industries's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Cords Cable Industries , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:CORDSCABLE
Cords Cable Industries
Engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of power, control, instrumentation, thermocouple extension/compensating, and communication cables in India.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.