Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Blue Star Limited (NSE:BLUESTARCO) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is Blue Star's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Blue Star had ₹7.96b of debt, an increase on ₹4.59b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹3.52b, its net debt is less, at about ₹4.44b.
How Strong Is Blue Star's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Blue Star had liabilities of ₹30.8b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹2.80b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹3.52b in cash and ₹10.3b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹19.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Since publicly traded Blue Star shares are worth a total of ₹136.6b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Blue Star has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.0. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 13.4 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On top of that, Blue Star grew its EBIT by 66% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Blue Star's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Blue Star reported free cash flow worth 7.8% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
The good news is that Blue Star's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Blue Star takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Blue Star is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:BLUESTARCO
Blue Star
Operates as a heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and commercial refrigeration (HVAC&R) company in India.
Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.