Stock Analysis

Bharat Dynamics' (NSE:BDL) Robust Earnings Are Supported By Other Strong Factors

NSEI:BDL
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The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Bharat Dynamics Limited's (NSE:BDL) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the IN Aerospace & Defense industry.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:BDL Earnings and Revenue History November 19th 2022

Zooming In On Bharat Dynamics' Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Bharat Dynamics has an accrual ratio of -0.19 for the year to September 2022. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of ₹8.4b, well over the ₹5.93b it reported in profit. Bharat Dynamics' free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Bharat Dynamics.

Our Take On Bharat Dynamics' Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Bharat Dynamics produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Bharat Dynamics' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 23% per year over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Bharat Dynamics you should be mindful of and 1 of these doesn't sit too well with us.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Bharat Dynamics' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bharat Dynamics might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.