Stock Analysis

Here's Why I Think Apollo Pipes (NSE:APOLLOPIPE) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

NSEI:APOLLOPIPE
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It's only natural that many investors, especially those who are new to the game, prefer to buy shares in 'sexy' stocks with a good story, even if those businesses lose money. But as Warren Buffett has mused, 'If you've been playing poker for half an hour and you still don't know who the patsy is, you're the patsy.' When they buy such story stocks, investors are all too often the patsy.

In the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, my choice may seem old fashioned; I still prefer profitable companies like Apollo Pipes (NSE:APOLLOPIPE). While that doesn't make the shares worth buying at any price, you can't deny that successful capitalism requires profit, eventually. Conversely, a loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the sweet milk of external capital may run sour.

See our latest analysis for Apollo Pipes

Apollo Pipes's Earnings Per Share Are Growing.

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS). Therefore, there are plenty of investors who like to buy shares in companies that are growing EPS. As a tree reaches steadily for the sky, Apollo Pipes's EPS has grown 19% each year, compound, over three years. If the company can sustain that sort of growth, we'd expect shareholders to come away winners.

I like to see top-line growth as an indication that growth is sustainable, and I look for a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin to point to a competitive moat (though some companies with low margins also have moats). While we note Apollo Pipes's EBIT margins were flat over the last year, revenue grew by a solid 8.6% to ₹4.4b. That's a real positive.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:APOLLOPIPE Earnings and Revenue History March 11th 2021

Since Apollo Pipes is no giant, with a market capitalization of ₹9.5b, so you should definitely check its cash and debt before getting too excited about its prospects.

Are Apollo Pipes Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like standing at the lookout, surveying the horizon at sunrise, insider buying, for some investors, sparks joy. This view is based on the possibility that stock purchases signal bullishness on behalf of the buyer. Of course, we can never be sure what insiders are thinking, we can only judge their actions.

We do note that, in the last year, insiders sold -₹129m worth of shares. But that's far less than the ₹206m insiders spend purchasing stock. I find this encouraging because it suggests they are optimistic about the Apollo Pipes's future. Zooming in, we can see that the biggest insider purchase was by MD & Director Sameer Gupta for ₹48m worth of shares, at about ₹315 per share.

On top of the insider buying, we can also see that Apollo Pipes insiders own a large chunk of the company. In fact, they own 67% of the company, so they will share in the same delights and challenges experienced by the ordinary shareholders. To me this is a good sign because it suggests they will be incentivised to build value for shareholders over the long term. With that sort of holding, insiders have about ₹6.4b riding on the stock, at current prices. That's nothing to sneeze at!

Is Apollo Pipes Worth Keeping An Eye On?

For growth investors like me, Apollo Pipes's raw rate of earnings growth is a beacon in the night. On top of that, insiders own a significant stake in the company and have been buying more shares. So it's fair to say I think this stock may well deserve a spot on your watchlist. Now, you could try to make up your mind on Apollo Pipes by focusing on just these factors, or you could also consider how its price-to-earnings ratio compares to other companies in its industry.

As a growth investor I do like to see insider buying. But Apollo Pipes isn't the only one. You can see a a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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