If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. This indicates to us that the business is not only shrinking the size of its net assets, but its returns are falling as well. So after we looked into Ador Welding (NSE:ADORWELD), the trends above didn't look too great.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Ador Welding, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.056 = ₹140m ÷ (₹4.0b - ₹1.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
So, Ador Welding has an ROCE of 5.6%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Machinery industry average of 9.6%.
Check out our latest analysis for Ador Welding
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Ador Welding, check out these free graphs here.
The Trend Of ROCE
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Ador Welding. About five years ago, returns on capital were 11%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Ador Welding to turn into a multi-bagger.
The Bottom Line
All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 13% from where it was five years ago. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
On a separate note, we've found 3 warning signs for Ador Welding you'll probably want to know about.
While Ador Welding may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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About NSEI:ADORWELD
Ador Welding
Manufactures and supplies welding equipment, consumables, and automation solutions in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.