Stock Analysis

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, ICICI Bank (NSE:ICICIBANK) Presents An Opportunity

NSEI:ICICIBANK
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It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story even if these companies are loss-making. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.

Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like ICICI Bank (NSE:ICICIBANK). While profit isn't the sole metric that should be considered when investing, it's worth recognising businesses that can consistently produce it.

See our latest analysis for ICICI Bank

How Fast Is ICICI Bank Growing?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS) outcomes. That means EPS growth is considered a real positive by most successful long-term investors. ICICI Bank's shareholders have have plenty to be happy about as their annual EPS growth for the last 3 years was 56%. Growth that fast may well be fleeting, but it should be more than enough to pique the interest of the wary stock pickers.

One way to double-check a company's growth is to look at how its revenue, and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are changing. It's noted that ICICI Bank's revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort our analysis of its margins. While we note ICICI Bank achieved similar EBIT margins to last year, revenue grew by a solid 8.2% to ₹1.1t. That's a real positive.

You can take a look at the company's revenue and earnings growth trend, in the chart below. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:ICICIBANK Earnings and Revenue History September 25th 2022

You don't drive with your eyes on the rear-view mirror, so you might be more interested in this free report showing analyst forecasts for ICICI Bank's future profits.

Are ICICI Bank Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a ₹6.1t company like ICICI Bank. But we are reassured by the fact they have invested in the company. Notably, they have an enviable stake in the company, worth ₹12b. We note that this amounts to 0.2% of the company, which may be small owing to the sheer size of ICICI Bank but it's still worth mentioning. This still shows shareholders there is a degree of alignment between management and themselves.

It means a lot to see insiders invested in the business, but shareholders may be wondering if remuneration policies are in their best interest. A brief analysis of the CEO compensation suggests they are. For companies with market capitalisations over ₹649b, like ICICI Bank, the median CEO pay is around ₹107m.

ICICI Bank's CEO took home a total compensation package worth ₹70m in the year leading up to March 2022. That is actually below the median for CEO's of similarly sized companies. CEO compensation is hardly the most important aspect of a company to consider, but when it's reasonable, that gives a little more confidence that leadership are looking out for shareholder interests. Generally, arguments can be made that reasonable pay levels attest to good decision-making.

Should You Add ICICI Bank To Your Watchlist?

ICICI Bank's earnings have taken off in quite an impressive fashion. The cherry on top is that insiders own a bucket-load of shares, and the CEO pay seems really quite reasonable. The sharp increase in earnings could signal good business momentum. Big growth can make big winners, so the writing on the wall tells us that ICICI Bank is worth considering carefully. Before you take the next step you should know about the 1 warning sign for ICICI Bank that we have uncovered.

There's always the possibility of doing well buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But for those who consider these important metrics, we encourage you to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.