The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Varroc Engineering Limited (NSE:VARROC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Varroc Engineering
What Is Varroc Engineering's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2023, Varroc Engineering had ₹18.1b of debt, up from ₹16.3b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has ₹3.57b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹14.5b.
A Look At Varroc Engineering's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Varroc Engineering had liabilities of ₹28.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹7.42b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹3.57b in cash and ₹5.97b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹26.6b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Varroc Engineering has a market capitalization of ₹58.0b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Even though Varroc Engineering's debt is only 2.4, its interest cover is really very low at 1.6. This does have us wondering if the company pays high interest because it is considered risky. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Notably, Varroc Engineering's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 140% on last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Varroc Engineering's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last two years, Varroc Engineering's free cash flow amounted to 40% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
On our analysis Varroc Engineering's EBIT growth rate should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. In particular, interest cover gives us cold feet. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Varroc Engineering's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Varroc Engineering is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:VARROC
Varroc Engineering
Designs, manufactures, and supplies exterior lighting systems, plastic and polymer components, electrical and electronics components, advanced safety systems, and precision metallic components worldwide.
Outstanding track record and fair value.