Stock Analysis

Is Omax Autos (NSE:OMAXAUTO) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:OMAXAUTO
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Omax Autos Limited (NSE:OMAXAUTO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Omax Autos

What Is Omax Autos's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Omax Autos had ₹1.19b of debt at March 2023, down from ₹1.43b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹300.3m, its net debt is less, at about ₹892.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:OMAXAUTO Debt to Equity History August 2nd 2023

How Healthy Is Omax Autos' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Omax Autos had liabilities of ₹1.03b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹1.06b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹300.3m and ₹150.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹1.64b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹1.06b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Omax Autos would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Omax Autos's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Omax Autos reported revenue of ₹3.0b, which is a gain of 20%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Omax Autos produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost ₹59m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. It's fair to say the loss of ₹205m didn't encourage us either; we'd like to see a profit. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Omax Autos is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.