Stock Analysis

Here's Why Exide Industries (NSE:EXIDEIND) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NSEI:EXIDEIND
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Exide Industries Limited (NSE:EXIDEIND) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Exide Industries

What Is Exide Industries's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Exide Industries had debt of ₹3.13b, up from ₹2.20b in one year. However, it does have ₹14.3b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of ₹11.1b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:EXIDEIND Debt to Equity History December 26th 2023

A Look At Exide Industries' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Exide Industries had liabilities of ₹38.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹7.24b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹14.3b in cash and ₹13.6b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹17.4b.

Since publicly traded Exide Industries shares are worth a total of ₹249.2b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Exide Industries boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Also good is that Exide Industries grew its EBIT at 11% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Exide Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Exide Industries has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Exide Industries created free cash flow amounting to 4.8% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Exide Industries's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of ₹11.1b. And it also grew its EBIT by 11% over the last year. So we don't have any problem with Exide Industries's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Exide Industries that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Exide Industries is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.