Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Autoline Industries (NSE:AUTOIND) Is Using Debt Extensively

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Autoline Industries Limited (NSE:AUTOIND) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Autoline Industries

What Is Autoline Industries's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2021, Autoline Industries had ₹1.30b of debt, up from ₹1.23b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had ₹45.5m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹1.26b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:AUTOIND Debt to Equity History January 23rd 2022

A Look At Autoline Industries' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Autoline Industries had liabilities of ₹2.86b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹352.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹45.5m in cash and ₹732.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹2.44b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₹2.89b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Autoline Industries' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Weak interest cover of 0.20 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.0 hit our confidence in Autoline Industries like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for Autoline Industries is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of ₹54m, over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Autoline Industries will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, Autoline Industries burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Autoline Industries's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. Overall, it seems to us that Autoline Industries's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Autoline Industries is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:AUTOIND

Autoline Industries

Manufactures and sells sheet metal stampings, welded assemblies, and molds for the automotive industries in India.

Slight risk with questionable track record.

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