Stock Analysis

Is Atul Auto (NSE:ATULAUTO) A Risky Investment?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Atul Auto Limited (NSE:ATULAUTO) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Atul Auto

What Is Atul Auto's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 Atul Auto had ₹1.88b of debt, an increase on ₹150.0m, over one year. On the flip side, it has ₹68.2m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹1.81b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:ATULAUTO Debt to Equity History June 28th 2022

How Strong Is Atul Auto's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Atul Auto had liabilities of ₹1.50b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.40b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹68.2m and ₹914.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹1.92b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Atul Auto has a market capitalization of ₹3.73b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Atul Auto's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Atul Auto reported revenue of ₹3.1b, which is a gain of 5.2%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Atul Auto had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at ₹259m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through ₹1.8b of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Atul Auto (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:ATULAUTO

Atul Auto

Manufactures and sells three-wheeler automobiles in India.

Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.

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