Stock Analysis

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Alicon Castalloy's (NSE:ALICON) Robust Earnings

NSEI:ALICON
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Alicon Castalloy Limited's (NSE:ALICON) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Alicon Castalloy

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:ALICON Earnings and Revenue History November 19th 2021

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, Alicon Castalloy increased the number of shares on issue by 18% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of Alicon Castalloy's EPS by clicking here.

A Look At The Impact Of Alicon Castalloy's Dilution on Its Earnings Per Share (EPS).

We don't have any data on the company's profits from three years ago. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we don't have a meaningful growth rate because it made a loss a year ago, too. What we do know is that while it's great to see a profit over the last twelve months, that profit would have been better, on a per share basis, if the company hadn't needed to issue shares. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders.

If Alicon Castalloy's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Alicon Castalloy.

Our Take On Alicon Castalloy's Profit Performance

Over the last year Alicon Castalloy issued new shares and so, there's a noteworthy divergence between EPS and net income growth. Because of this, we think that it may be that Alicon Castalloy's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. The good news is that it earned a profit in the last twelve months, despite its previous loss. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Alicon Castalloy at this point in time. For example, we've found that Alicon Castalloy has 3 warning signs (2 are concerning!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Alicon Castalloy's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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