Stock Analysis

The past three years for OPC Energy (TLV:OPCE) investors has not been profitable

TASE:OPCE
Source: Shutterstock

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term OPC Energy Ltd. (TLV:OPCE) shareholders, since the share price is down 14% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 9.5%.

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

See our latest analysis for OPC Energy

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, OPC Energy moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. So given the share price is down it's worth checking some other metrics too.

Revenue is actually up 23% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating OPC Energy further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TASE:OPCE Earnings and Revenue Growth July 25th 2024

This free interactive report on OPC Energy's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

OPC Energy shareholders gained a total return of 2.4% during the year. But that return falls short of the market. But at least that's still a gain! Over five years the TSR has been a reduction of 0.1% per year, over five years. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with OPC Energy (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

We will like OPC Energy better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Israeli exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.