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Econergy Renewable Energy (TLV:ECNR) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues
The market for Econergy Renewable Energy Ltd's (TLV:ECNR) stock was strong after it released a healthy earnings report last week. Despite this, our analysis suggests that there are some factors weakening the foundations of those good profit numbers.
View our latest analysis for Econergy Renewable Energy
Zooming In On Econergy Renewable Energy's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Econergy Renewable Energy has an accrual ratio of 0.40 for the year to June 2024. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of €20.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through €106m in the last year. We also note that Econergy Renewable Energy's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of €106m.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Econergy Renewable Energy.
Our Take On Econergy Renewable Energy's Profit Performance
As we discussed above, we think Econergy Renewable Energy's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Econergy Renewable Energy's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. The silver lining is that its EPS growth over the last year has been really wonderful, even if it's not a perfect measure. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Econergy Renewable Energy (2 can't be ignored!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Econergy Renewable Energy's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Econergy Renewable Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TASE:ECNR
Econergy Renewable Energy
An independent power producing company, develops, owns, and operates utility-scale renewable energy projects in Italy, the United Kingdom, Romania, Spain, Poland, and Greece.