Stock Analysis

Is Overseas Commerce (TLV:OVRS) Using Too Much Debt?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Overseas Commerce Ltd. (TLV:OVRS) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Overseas Commerce

How Much Debt Does Overseas Commerce Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, Overseas Commerce had ₪192.0m of debt, up from ₪164.2m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has ₪3.98m in cash leading to net debt of about ₪188.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:OVRS Debt to Equity History November 10th 2023

A Look At Overseas Commerce's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Overseas Commerce had liabilities of ₪154.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₪373.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₪3.98m in cash and ₪87.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₪436.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪236.5m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Overseas Commerce would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Overseas Commerce's debt to EBITDA ratio (2.8) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.4, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Another concern for investors might be that Overseas Commerce's EBIT fell 11% in the last year. If things keep going like that, handling the debt will about as easy as bundling an angry house cat into its travel box. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Overseas Commerce will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Overseas Commerce recorded free cash flow worth 75% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Mulling over Overseas Commerce's attempt at staying on top of its total liabilities, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. It's also worth noting that Overseas Commerce is in the Infrastructure industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Overseas Commerce has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Overseas Commerce you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TASE:OVRS

Overseas Commerce

Provides logistics services in Israel and internationally.

Low risk and slightly overvalued.

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