Stock Analysis

Is Delek Automotive Systems (TLV:DLEA) A Risky Investment?

TASE:DLEA
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Delek Automotive Systems Ltd. (TLV:DLEA) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Delek Automotive Systems

What Is Delek Automotive Systems's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Delek Automotive Systems had ₪1.72b of debt in December 2021, down from ₪2.51b, one year before. However, it does have ₪141.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₪1.58b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:DLEA Debt to Equity History May 4th 2022

A Look At Delek Automotive Systems' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Delek Automotive Systems had liabilities of ₪1.84b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₪1.72b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₪141.8m in cash and ₪475.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₪2.94b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₪4.22b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Delek Automotive Systems's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.8 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 463 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Importantly, Delek Automotive Systems grew its EBIT by 81% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Delek Automotive Systems's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Delek Automotive Systems actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

The good news is that Delek Automotive Systems's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Delek Automotive Systems takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Delek Automotive Systems , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.