Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Ravad Ltd (TLV:RAVD) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Ravad
How Much Debt Does Ravad Carry?
As you can see below, Ravad had ₪311.9m of debt, at December 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have ₪20.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₪291.1m.
A Look At Ravad's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Ravad had liabilities of ₪50.2m due within a year, and liabilities of ₪313.2m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪20.8m as well as receivables valued at ₪10.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪332.6m.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪204.2m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Ravad would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Ravad shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (68.7), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.53 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Ravad's EBIT was down 48% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Ravad's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Ravad burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Ravad's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. It looks to us like Ravad carries a significant balance sheet burden. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Ravad (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About TASE:RAVD
Ravad
Ravad Limited engages in the rental of commercial properties in Germany, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom.
Moderate with mediocre balance sheet.