Stock Analysis

Does Mishorim Real Estate Investments (TLV:MSHR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TASE:MSHR
Source: Shutterstock

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Mishorim Real Estate Investments Ltd (TLV:MSHR) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Mishorim Real Estate Investments

How Much Debt Does Mishorim Real Estate Investments Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Mishorim Real Estate Investments had debt of ₪1.70b at the end of September 2020, a reduction from ₪1.83b over a year. On the flip side, it has ₪173.9m in cash leading to net debt of about ₪1.52b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:MSHR Debt to Equity History January 20th 2021

How Strong Is Mishorim Real Estate Investments' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Mishorim Real Estate Investments had liabilities of ₪504.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₪1.55b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₪173.9m and ₪93.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₪1.79b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₪258.0m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Mishorim Real Estate Investments would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Mishorim Real Estate Investments shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (19.1), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.26 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, Mishorim Real Estate Investments's EBIT was down 74% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Mishorim Real Estate Investments's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Mishorim Real Estate Investments recorded free cash flow worth 73% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

On the face of it, Mishorim Real Estate Investments's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Mishorim Real Estate Investments has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Mishorim Real Estate Investments is showing 6 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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