Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Alrov Properties and Lodgings (TLV:ALRPR) Is Using Debt Extensively

TASE:ALRPR
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Alrov Properties and Lodgings Ltd. (TLV:ALRPR) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Alrov Properties and Lodgings

How Much Debt Does Alrov Properties and Lodgings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Alrov Properties and Lodgings had ₪8.36b of debt, an increase on ₪6.92b, over one year. However, it also had ₪923.5m in cash, and so its net debt is ₪7.43b.

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TASE:ALRPR Debt to Equity History January 5th 2024

How Strong Is Alrov Properties and Lodgings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Alrov Properties and Lodgings had liabilities of ₪1.13b due within a year, and liabilities of ₪9.31b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₪923.5m as well as receivables valued at ₪149.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₪9.37b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₪2.84b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Alrov Properties and Lodgings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 1.4 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 13.5 hit our confidence in Alrov Properties and Lodgings like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. The good news is that Alrov Properties and Lodgings improved its EBIT by 5.4% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Alrov Properties and Lodgings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Alrov Properties and Lodgings recorded free cash flow worth 59% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

To be frank both Alrov Properties and Lodgings's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Alrov Properties and Lodgings to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Alrov Properties and Lodgings has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Alrov Properties and Lodgings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.