David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Mehadrin Ltd. (TLV:MEDN) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Mehadrin
How Much Debt Does Mehadrin Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Mehadrin had debt of ₪324.9m at the end of December 2020, a reduction from ₪398.4m over a year. However, it does have ₪77.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₪247.8m.
How Strong Is Mehadrin's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Mehadrin had liabilities of ₪425.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₪239.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₪77.0m in cash and ₪204.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₪382.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₪498.7m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Mehadrin's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Mehadrin shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (6.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.2 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Mehadrin actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 110%, over the last 12 months. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Mehadrin will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Mehadrin recorded free cash flow of 38% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
Mehadrin's interest cover and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Mehadrin's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Mehadrin (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About TASE:MEDN
Mehadrin
Mehadrin Ltd. grows and markets citrus, fruits, and vegetables primarily under the JAFFA brand name in Israel and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.