Stock Analysis

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Cohen Development Gas & Oil's (TLV:CDEV) Earnings

TASE:CDEV
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Cohen Development Gas & Oil Ltd.'s (TLV:CDEV) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

View our latest analysis for Cohen Development Gas & Oil

earnings-and-revenue-history
TASE:CDEV Earnings and Revenue History April 5th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Cohen Development Gas & Oil's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Cohen Development Gas & Oil has an accrual ratio of 0.20 for the year to December 2023. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of US$18m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of US$22.1m. At this point we should mention that Cohen Development Gas & Oil did manage to increase its free cash flow in the last twelve months

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Cohen Development Gas & Oil.

Our Take On Cohen Development Gas & Oil's Profit Performance

Cohen Development Gas & Oil didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Cohen Development Gas & Oil's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Be aware that Cohen Development Gas & Oil is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Cohen Development Gas & Oil's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cohen Development Gas & Oil is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.