Stock Analysis

Is Shapir Engineering and Industry (TLV:SPEN) A Risky Investment?

TASE:SPEN
Source: Shutterstock

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Shapir Engineering and Industry Ltd (TLV:SPEN) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Shapir Engineering and Industry

What Is Shapir Engineering and Industry's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2022, Shapir Engineering and Industry had ₪8.00b of debt, up from ₪6.19b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had ₪1.11b in cash, and so its net debt is ₪6.89b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TASE:SPEN Debt to Equity History May 23rd 2023

How Strong Is Shapir Engineering and Industry's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shapir Engineering and Industry had liabilities of ₪3.30b due within a year, and liabilities of ₪7.48b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₪1.11b in cash and ₪1.51b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₪8.16b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₪10.1b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Shapir Engineering and Industry's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 1.1 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 11.0 hit our confidence in Shapir Engineering and Industry like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. More concerning, Shapir Engineering and Industry saw its EBIT drop by 6.6% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Shapir Engineering and Industry's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Shapir Engineering and Industry actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

On the face of it, Shapir Engineering and Industry's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its level of total liabilities also fails to instill confidence. Overall, it seems to us that Shapir Engineering and Industry's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shapir Engineering and Industry (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.