Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies C. Mer Industries Ltd. (TLV:CMER) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for C. Mer Industries
What Is C. Mer Industries's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that C. Mer Industries had ₪202.0m of debt in March 2021, down from ₪214.0m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₪18.6m, its net debt is less, at about ₪183.4m.
A Look At C. Mer Industries' Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, C. Mer Industries had liabilities of ₪300.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₪40.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₪18.6m in cash and ₪216.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₪106.2m.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₪57.8m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, C. Mer Industries would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is C. Mer Industries's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year C. Mer Industries had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 18%, to ₪354m. We would much prefer see growth.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did C. Mer Industries's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable ₪11m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. It's fair to say the loss of ₪25m didn't encourage us either; we'd like to see a profit. In the meantime, we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with C. Mer Industries (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About TASE:CMER
C. Mer Industries
Provides solutions in the areas of homeland security (HLS), cyber and intelligence, communication infrastructure, and tactical communication systems.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.