Vale Indonesia (INCO) Stock Overview
Engages in the mining and processing of nickel in Indonesia. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 4/6 |
| Future Growth | 5/6 |
| Past Performance | 4/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 1/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
No risks detected for INCO from our risk checks.
INCO Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 31 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
PT Vale Indonesia Tbk Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | Rp4,830.00 |
| 52 Week High | Rp7,900.00 |
| 52 Week Low | Rp2,950.00 |
| Beta | 1.23 |
| 1 Month Change | -28.97% |
| 3 Month Change | -29.49% |
| 1 Year Change | 46.36% |
| 3 Year Change | -27.09% |
| 5 Year Change | 3.87% |
| Change since IPO | 6,132.26% |
Recent News & Updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 04
INCO: Higher Future P/E Will Support Stronger Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Vale Indonesia slightly to IDR10,042 from about IDR10,080, reflecting updated assumptions that combine stronger forecast revenue growth with lower profit margin expectations and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly to IDR10,041.60 from IDR10,080.41.
Narrative Update • Apr 19
INCO: Higher Discount Rate And Firmer Margins Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Vale Indonesia to IDR 7,332 from IDR 7,137, citing updated assumptions that include a slightly higher discount rate, a lower revenue growth outlook, firmer profit margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: updated to IDR 7,331.85 from IDR 7,136.70, reflecting a modest upward adjustment in the intrinsic estimate.Narrative Update • Apr 05
INCO: Higher Future Margins Are Expected To Support Stronger Upside Potential
Analysts now set their fair value estimate for Vale Indonesia at IDR 10,080, up from IDR 9,974, reflecting small shifts in assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Updated to IDR 10,080 from IDR 9,974, representing a small upward adjustment to the estimate.Narrative Update • Mar 22
INCO: Lower Discount Rate And Stronger Margins Will Support 2025 Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target on Vale Indonesia to IDR 7,136 from IDR 6,467, citing updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue, profit margins and a modestly higher forward P/E multiple, alongside a small adjustment to the discount rate. Valuation Changes Fair Value: IDR 7,136, up from IDR 6,467, reflecting the latest model output.Narrative Update • Mar 07
INCO: Higher Future Margins Are Expected To Support Stronger Upside Potential
Analysts have revised their price target for Vale Indonesia to IDR 9,974 from IDR 5,892, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margin, and a slightly adjusted discount rate and forward P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: revised from IDR 5,892.33 to IDR 9,974.31, indicating a materially higher assessed valuation level for the shares.
Narrative Update • Feb 20
INCO: Rich Multiple And Slight Assumption Tweaks Will Likely Limit Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Vale Indonesia slightly higher to IDR3,501.68 from IDR3,490.24, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate and future P/E multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Updated from IDR3,490.24 to IDR3,501.68, reflecting a small upward adjustment in the model output.Narrative Update • Feb 06
INCO: Rich Multiple And Modest Assumption Shifts Will Likely Cap Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Vale Indonesia slightly to IDR 3,490 from about IDR 3,495, citing updated assumptions that include a lower discount rate, modestly higher expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News Vale Indonesia plans to hold a Year End Analyst Gathering 2025, indicating continued direct engagement with the analyst and investor community (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 23
INCO: Year End Analyst Gathering Will Shape Balanced Outlook For 2025
Analysts have lifted their price target for Vale Indonesia to Rp6,466.51 from Rp4,693.93, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly higher discount rate, along with a revised forward P/E of 11.85x versus 10.92x previously. What's in the News Vale Indonesia plans to hold a Year End Analyst Gathering 2025, giving you a chance to hear management discuss operations, capital plans and project updates directly.Narrative Update • Jan 09
INCO: Higher Discount Rate Will Likely Restrain Future Share Price Potential
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Vale Indonesia from Rp2,956 to Rp3,495, citing updated assumptions related to discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Vale Indonesia plans to conduct its Year End Analyst Gathering 2025, signaling continued engagement with the investment community and providing an opportunity for updated company insights (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 14
INCO: Higher Margins Are Expected To Drive Stronger Prospects Ahead
Analysts have raised their price target for Vale Indonesia from IDR 5,244 to IDR 5,892, citing expectations of stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a more attractive forward P/E multiple, despite a slightly higher assumed discount rate. What's in the News Vale Indonesia plans to conduct its Year End Analyst Gathering 2025, signaling continued engagement with investors and analysts on strategic and financial outlooks (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Nov 29
INCO: Year End Analyst Gathering Will Drive Momentum Into 2025
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Vale Indonesia from Rp4,676.19 to Rp4,693.93, citing incremental improvements in revenue growth forecasts and modest adjustments to the discount rate. What's in the News Vale Indonesia is scheduled to conduct its Year End Analyst Gathering 2025.Narrative Update • Nov 15
INCO: Improving Profit Margins and Upcoming Board Changes Will Shape Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for Vale Indonesia from Rp4,495 to Rp4,676, citing stronger revenue growth and an improved profit margin forecast. What's in the News Vale Indonesia will hold a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting on September 23, 2025, at 16:00 SE Asia Standard Time (Key Developments) The meeting will take place at the financial hall, Graha CIMB Niaga, 2nd floor, Jl. Jend.Narrative Update • Nov 01
INCO: Board Meeting And Margin Outlook Will Guide Shareholder Expectations
Narrative Update: Vale Indonesia Price Target Revised Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Vale Indonesia from Rp4,484.05 to Rp4,495.23. This reflects improved margin expectations, despite modest adjustments to growth and discount rate assumptions.Narrative Update • Oct 18
Indonesia Nickel Ore Sales And HPAL Projects Will Shape Opportunities
Narrative Update on Vale Indonesia: Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Vale Indonesia from Rp4,433.86 to Rp4,484.05. Improved forecasts in revenue growth and profit margin are cited as key drivers of this upward adjustment.Narrative Update • Oct 04
Indonesia Nickel Ore Sales And HPAL Projects Will Shape Opportunities
Analysts have raised their price target for Vale Indonesia from Rp4,247.93 to Rp4,433.86, citing slightly stronger margins and a modest improvement in long-term fair value estimates. What's in the News A Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting is scheduled for September 23, 2025, to consider changes in the company’s board and other business matters (Key Developments).New Narrative • May 18
Indonesia Nickel Ore Sales And HPAL Projects Will Shape Opportunities
Diversification into saprolite ore sales and extensive nickel resources position the company for revenue growth and long-term sustainability.Shareholder Returns
| INCO | ID Metals and Mining | ID Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -17.8% | -16.7% | -7.4% |
| 1Y | 46.4% | -14.0% | -15.5% |
Return vs Industry: INCO exceeded the ID Metals and Mining industry which returned -7.5% over the past year.
Return vs Market: INCO exceeded the ID Market which returned -13.6% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| INCO volatility | |
|---|---|
| INCO Average Weekly Movement | 11.6% |
| Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement | 10.1% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.9% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in ID Market | 15.4% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in ID Market | 3.8% |
Stable Share Price: INCO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the ID market.
Volatility Over Time: INCO's weekly volatility (12%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1968 | 2,934 | Bernardus Irmanto | www.vale.com/indonesia |
PT Vale Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining and processing of nickel in Indonesia. The company was formerly known as PT International Nickel Indonesia Tbk and changed its name to PT Vale Indonesia Tbk in September 2011. PT Vale Indonesia Tbk was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
PT Vale Indonesia Tbk Fundamentals Summary
| INCO fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | Rp50.91t |
| Earnings (TTM) | Rp1.73t |
| Revenue (TTM) | Rp18.33t |
29.4x
P/E Ratio2.8x
P/S RatioIs INCO overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| INCO income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$1.04b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$888.26m |
| Gross Profit | US$148.08m |
| Other Expenses | US$50.20m |
| Earnings | US$97.88m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.0093 |
| Gross Margin | 14.29% |
| Net Profit Margin | 9.44% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 0% |
How did INCO perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
1.1%
Current Dividend Yield60%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/20 00:33 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/20 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
PT Vale Indonesia Tbk is covered by 29 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Nathan Gee | BofA Global Research |
| Andi Hadiwidjojo | BofA Global Research |
| Jacquelin Hamdani | CGS International |