PT Vale Indonesia Tbk

IDX:INCO Stock Report

Market Cap: Rp57.7t

Vale Indonesia Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 1/6

Vale Indonesia is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 0.98% that is well covered by earnings.

Key information

1.0%

Dividend yield

-0.003%

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yield1.0%
Future Dividend Yield6.5%
Dividend Growth-2.0%
Next dividend pay daten/a
Ex dividend daten/a
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ratio60%

Recent dividend and buyback updates

No updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 24

INCO: Lower Discount Rate Will Support Stronger Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their price target for Vale Indonesia higher to IDR 10,258 from IDR 10,042, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Updated estimate is IDR 10,258, compared with the earlier IDR 10,042, indicating a small upward adjustment in assessed value.
Narrative Update May 04

INCO: Higher Future P/E Will Support Stronger Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Vale Indonesia slightly to IDR10,042 from about IDR10,080, reflecting updated assumptions that combine stronger forecast revenue growth with lower profit margin expectations and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly to IDR10,041.60 from IDR10,080.41.
Narrative Update Apr 19

INCO: Higher Discount Rate And Firmer Margins Will Shape Fairly Valued Outlook

Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Vale Indonesia to IDR 7,332 from IDR 7,137, citing updated assumptions that include a slightly higher discount rate, a lower revenue growth outlook, firmer profit margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: updated to IDR 7,331.85 from IDR 7,136.70, reflecting a modest upward adjustment in the intrinsic estimate.
Narrative Update Apr 05

INCO: Higher Future Margins Are Expected To Support Stronger Upside Potential

Analysts now set their fair value estimate for Vale Indonesia at IDR 10,080, up from IDR 9,974, reflecting small shifts in assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Updated to IDR 10,080 from IDR 9,974, representing a small upward adjustment to the estimate.
Narrative Update Mar 22

INCO: Lower Discount Rate And Stronger Margins Will Support 2025 Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target on Vale Indonesia to IDR 7,136 from IDR 6,467, citing updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue, profit margins and a modestly higher forward P/E multiple, alongside a small adjustment to the discount rate. Valuation Changes Fair Value: IDR 7,136, up from IDR 6,467, reflecting the latest model output.
Narrative Update Mar 07

INCO: Higher Future Margins Are Expected To Support Stronger Upside Potential

Analysts have revised their price target for Vale Indonesia to IDR 9,974 from IDR 5,892, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margin, and a slightly adjusted discount rate and forward P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: revised from IDR 5,892.33 to IDR 9,974.31, indicating a materially higher assessed valuation level for the shares.
Narrative Update Feb 20

INCO: Rich Multiple And Slight Assumption Tweaks Will Likely Limit Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target for Vale Indonesia slightly higher to IDR3,501.68 from IDR3,490.24, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate and future P/E multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Updated from IDR3,490.24 to IDR3,501.68, reflecting a small upward adjustment in the model output.
Narrative Update Feb 06

INCO: Rich Multiple And Modest Assumption Shifts Will Likely Cap Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Vale Indonesia slightly to IDR 3,490 from about IDR 3,495, citing updated assumptions that include a lower discount rate, modestly higher expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News Vale Indonesia plans to hold a Year End Analyst Gathering 2025, indicating continued direct engagement with the analyst and investor community (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Jan 23

INCO: Year End Analyst Gathering Will Shape Balanced Outlook For 2025

Analysts have lifted their price target for Vale Indonesia to Rp6,466.51 from Rp4,693.93, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly higher discount rate, along with a revised forward P/E of 11.85x versus 10.92x previously. What's in the News Vale Indonesia plans to hold a Year End Analyst Gathering 2025, giving you a chance to hear management discuss operations, capital plans and project updates directly.
Narrative Update Jan 09

INCO: Higher Discount Rate Will Likely Restrain Future Share Price Potential

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Vale Indonesia from Rp2,956 to Rp3,495, citing updated assumptions related to discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Vale Indonesia plans to conduct its Year End Analyst Gathering 2025, signaling continued engagement with the investment community and providing an opportunity for updated company insights (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Dec 14

INCO: Higher Margins Are Expected To Drive Stronger Prospects Ahead

Analysts have raised their price target for Vale Indonesia from IDR 5,244 to IDR 5,892, citing expectations of stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a more attractive forward P/E multiple, despite a slightly higher assumed discount rate. What's in the News Vale Indonesia plans to conduct its Year End Analyst Gathering 2025, signaling continued engagement with investors and analysts on strategic and financial outlooks (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Nov 29

INCO: Year End Analyst Gathering Will Drive Momentum Into 2025

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Vale Indonesia from Rp4,676.19 to Rp4,693.93, citing incremental improvements in revenue growth forecasts and modest adjustments to the discount rate. What's in the News Vale Indonesia is scheduled to conduct its Year End Analyst Gathering 2025.
Narrative Update Nov 15

INCO: Improving Profit Margins and Upcoming Board Changes Will Shape Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for Vale Indonesia from Rp4,495 to Rp4,676, citing stronger revenue growth and an improved profit margin forecast. What's in the News Vale Indonesia will hold a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting on September 23, 2025, at 16:00 SE Asia Standard Time (Key Developments) The meeting will take place at the financial hall, Graha CIMB Niaga, 2nd floor, Jl. Jend.
Narrative Update Nov 01

INCO: Board Meeting And Margin Outlook Will Guide Shareholder Expectations

Narrative Update: Vale Indonesia Price Target Revised Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Vale Indonesia from Rp4,484.05 to Rp4,495.23. This reflects improved margin expectations, despite modest adjustments to growth and discount rate assumptions.
Narrative Update Oct 18

Indonesia Nickel Ore Sales And HPAL Projects Will Shape Opportunities

Narrative Update on Vale Indonesia: Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Vale Indonesia from Rp4,433.86 to Rp4,484.05. Improved forecasts in revenue growth and profit margin are cited as key drivers of this upward adjustment.
Narrative Update Oct 04

Indonesia Nickel Ore Sales And HPAL Projects Will Shape Opportunities

Analysts have raised their price target for Vale Indonesia from Rp4,247.93 to Rp4,433.86, citing slightly stronger margins and a modest improvement in long-term fair value estimates. What's in the News A Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting is scheduled for September 23, 2025, to consider changes in the company’s board and other business matters (Key Developments).
User avatar
New Narrative May 18

Indonesia Nickel Ore Sales And HPAL Projects Will Shape Opportunities

Diversification into saprolite ore sales and extensive nickel resources position the company for revenue growth and long-term sustainability.

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: INCO has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years and during this time payments have been volatile.

Growing Dividend: INCO has only been paying a dividend for 5 years, and since then payments have fallen.


Dividend Yield vs Market

Vale Indonesia Dividend Yield vs Market
How does INCO dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (INCO)1.0%
Market Bottom 25% (ID)1.2%
Market Top 25% (ID)6.5%
Industry Average (Metals and Mining)3.2%
Analyst forecast (INCO) (up to 3 years)6.5%

Notable Dividend: INCO's dividend (0.98%) isn’t notable compared to the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the ID market (1.18%).

High Dividend: INCO's dividend (0.98%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the ID market (6.48%).


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: With its reasonable payout ratio (59.9%), INCO's dividend payments are covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: INCO is paying a dividend but the company has no free cash flows.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/25 22:23
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/25 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

PT Vale Indonesia Tbk is covered by 29 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nathan GeeBofA Global Research
Andi HadiwidjojoBofA Global Research
Jacquelin HamdaniCGS International