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INCO: Higher Margins Are Expected To Drive Stronger Prospects Ahead

Increasing EV Demand Will Boost Responsible Nickel Supply

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INCO
AnalystHighTarget
Not Invested
Published 02 Aug 2025

Update shared on 14 Dec 2025

Fair value Increased 12%
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AnalystHighTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
4.5%
7D
0.5%

Analysts have raised their price target for Vale Indonesia from IDR 5,244 to IDR 5,892, citing expectations of stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a more attractive forward P/E multiple, despite a slightly higher assumed discount rate.

What's in the News

  • Vale Indonesia plans to conduct its Year End Analyst Gathering 2025, signaling continued engagement with investors and analysts on strategic and financial outlooks (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value: Raised from IDR 5,244.36 to IDR 5,892.33, indicating a moderate upward revision to the intrinsic value estimate.
  • Discount Rate: Increased slightly from 13.25 percent to around 14.01 percent, reflecting a marginally higher perceived risk or required return.
  • Revenue Growth: Upgraded from about 37.03 percent to roughly 40.20 percent, signaling slightly stronger expectations for top line expansion.
  • Profit Margin: Improved from approximately 22.96 percent to about 28.04 percent, indicating a significant enhancement in anticipated profitability.
  • Future P/E: Reduced from 9.17x to about 7.56x, suggesting a lower valuation multiple despite the higher fair value estimate.

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Disclaimer

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