Bank CIMB Niaga Valuation

Is BNGA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BNGA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BNGA (IDR1680) is trading above our estimate of fair value (IDR1493.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BNGA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BNGA?

Key metric: As BNGA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BNGA. This is calculated by dividing BNGA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BNGA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.4x
EarningsRp6.65t
Market CapRp42.23t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BNGA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BNGA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.5x
PNBN Bank Pan Indonesia
18.5xn/aRp42.6t
BNLI Bank Permata
10.5xn/aRp34.0t
NISP Bank OCBC NISP
6xn/aRp29.4t
MEGA Bank Mega
19xn/aRp51.4t
BNGA Bank CIMB Niaga
6.4x13.5%Rp42.2t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BNGA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the peer average (13.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BNGA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the ID Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
BNGA 6.4xIndustry Avg. 19.0xNo. of Companies8PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BNGA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the ID Banks industry average (19x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BNGA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BNGA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.4x
Fair PE Ratio9.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BNGA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BNGA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentRp1,680.00
Rp2,307.50
+37.4%
4.8%Rp2,400.00Rp2,130.00n/a4
Dec ’25Rp1,755.00
Rp2,307.50
+31.5%
4.8%Rp2,400.00Rp2,130.00n/a4
Nov ’25Rp1,825.00
Rp2,280.00
+24.9%
6.8%Rp2,400.00Rp2,020.00n/a4
Oct ’25Rp1,885.00
Rp2,230.00
+18.3%
6.3%Rp2,400.00Rp2,020.00n/a4
Sep ’25Rp1,880.00
Rp2,230.00
+18.6%
6.3%Rp2,400.00Rp2,020.00n/a4
Aug ’25Rp1,840.00
Rp2,230.00
+21.2%
6.3%Rp2,400.00Rp2,020.00n/a4
Jul ’25Rp1,760.00
Rp2,280.00
+29.5%
8.1%Rp2,500.00Rp2,020.00n/a4
Jun ’25Rp1,700.00
Rp2,280.00
+34.1%
8.1%Rp2,500.00Rp2,020.00n/a4
May ’25Rp1,910.00
Rp2,385.00
+24.9%
5.5%Rp2,520.00Rp2,200.00n/a4
Apr ’25Rp2,140.00
Rp2,385.00
+11.4%
5.5%Rp2,520.00Rp2,200.00n/a4
Mar ’25Rp1,985.00
Rp2,355.00
+18.6%
6.6%Rp2,520.00Rp2,200.00n/a4
Feb ’25Rp1,745.00
Rp2,173.33
+24.5%
7.9%Rp2,370.00Rp1,950.00n/a3
Jan ’25Rp1,695.00
Rp2,173.33
+28.2%
7.9%Rp2,370.00Rp1,950.00n/a3
Dec ’24Rp1,705.00
Rp2,173.33
+27.5%
7.9%Rp2,370.00Rp1,950.00Rp1,755.003
Nov ’24Rp1,720.00
Rp2,160.00
+25.6%
9.7%Rp2,370.00Rp1,950.00Rp1,825.002
Oct ’24Rp1,690.00
Rp1,613.33
-4.5%
26.1%Rp2,190.00Rp1,200.00Rp1,885.003
Sep ’24Rp1,705.00
Rp1,613.33
-5.4%
26.1%Rp2,190.00Rp1,200.00Rp1,880.003
Aug ’24Rp1,670.00
Rp1,613.33
-3.4%
26.1%Rp2,190.00Rp1,200.00Rp1,840.003
Jul ’24Rp1,585.00
Rp1,380.00
-12.9%
9.3%Rp1,490.00Rp1,200.00Rp1,760.003
Jun ’24Rp1,440.00
Rp1,380.00
-4.2%
9.3%Rp1,490.00Rp1,200.00Rp1,700.003
May ’24Rp1,240.00
Rp1,320.00
+6.5%
9.4%Rp1,490.00Rp1,200.00Rp1,910.003
Apr ’24Rp1,270.00
Rp1,320.00
+3.9%
9.4%Rp1,490.00Rp1,200.00Rp2,140.003
Mar ’24Rp1,235.00
Rp1,380.00
+11.7%
8.0%Rp1,490.00Rp1,270.00Rp1,985.002
Feb ’24Rp1,200.00
Rp1,340.00
+11.7%
5.2%Rp1,410.00Rp1,270.00Rp1,745.002
Jan ’24Rp1,185.00
Rp1,340.00
+13.1%
5.2%Rp1,410.00Rp1,270.00Rp1,695.002
Dec ’23Rp1,220.00
Rp1,360.00
+11.5%
4.7%Rp1,410.00Rp1,270.00Rp1,705.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 21:23
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk is covered by 10 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Tjandra LienandjajaBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
James NugrohoDeutsche Bank
Faiq AsadMaybank Research Pte. Ltd.