Stock Analysis

Is China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited (HKG:916) Potentially Undervalued?

SEHK:916
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While China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited (HKG:916) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the SEHK over the last few months, increasing to HK$11.40 at one point, and dropping to the lows of HK$8.56. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether China Longyuan Power Group's current trading price of HK$8.65 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at China Longyuan Power Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for China Longyuan Power Group

Is China Longyuan Power Group Still Cheap?

According to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 11.33x is currently trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 8.81x, which means if you buy China Longyuan Power Group today, you’d be paying a relatively sensible price for it. And if you believe that China Longyuan Power Group should be trading at this level in the long run, then there should only be a fairly immaterial downside vs other industry peers. Furthermore, China Longyuan Power Group’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This may mean it is less likely for the stock to fall lower from natural market volatility, which suggests less opportunities to buy moving forward.

What does the future of China Longyuan Power Group look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:916 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 13th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 91% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for China Longyuan Power Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 916’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 916? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on 916, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for 916, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing China Longyuan Power Group at this point in time. For example - China Longyuan Power Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.