The five-year loss for Tianjin Development Holdings (HKG:882) shareholders likely driven by its shrinking earnings

By
Simply Wall St
Published
March 23, 2022
SEHK:882
Source: Shutterstock

Tianjin Development Holdings Limited (HKG:882) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 12% in the last week. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 56% in that half decade.

While the stock has risen 12% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

View our latest analysis for Tianjin Development Holdings

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Looking back five years, both Tianjin Development Holdings' share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 1.8% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 15% per year, over the period. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 4.23.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:882 Earnings Per Share Growth March 23rd 2022

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Tianjin Development Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Tianjin Development Holdings the TSR over the last 5 years was -48%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Tianjin Development Holdings has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 12% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 8% per year over the last half decade. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Tianjin Development Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Tianjin Development Holdings (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

But note: Tianjin Development Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

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