China Gas Holdings Limited (HKG:384) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 30th of September to HK$0.45. This makes the dividend yield about the same as the industry average at 2.3%.
Check out our latest analysis for China Gas Holdings
China Gas Holdings' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Before making this announcement, China Gas Holdings was paying a whopping 2,052% as a dividend, but this only made up 27% of its overall earnings. A cash payout ratio this high could put the dividend under pressure and force the company to reduce it in the future if it were to run into tough times.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 10.4% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 30% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
China Gas Holdings Has A Solid Track Record
The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. Since 2011, the dividend has gone from HK$0.022 to HK$0.55. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 38% over that duration. So, dividends have been growing pretty quickly, and even more impressively, they haven't experienced any notable falls during this period.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. We are encouraged to see that China Gas Holdings has grown earnings per share at 34% per year over the past five years. Rapid earnings growth and a low payout ratio suggest this company has been effectively reinvesting in its business. Should that continue, this company could have a bright future.
In Summary
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think China Gas Holdings' payments are rock solid. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for China Gas Holdings (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:384
China Gas Holdings
An investment holding company, operates as a gas operator and service provider in the People’s Republic of China.
Established dividend payer and fair value.