China Gas Holdings Limited's (HKG:384) investors are due to receive a payment of HK$0.15 per share on 2nd of February. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 7.1%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.
See our latest analysis for China Gas Holdings
China Gas Holdings' Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Before making this announcement, China Gas Holdings' dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 123.8%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 54%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.
China Gas Holdings Has A Solid Track Record
The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. The dividend has gone from an annual total of HK$0.044 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of HK$0.50. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 28% a year over that time. It is good to see that there has been strong dividend growth, and that there haven't been any cuts for a long time.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. China Gas Holdings' EPS has fallen by approximately 18% per year during the past five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.
Our Thoughts On China Gas Holdings' Dividend
Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The company has been bring in plenty of cash to cover the dividend, but we don't necessarily think that makes it a great dividend stock. We don't think China Gas Holdings is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for China Gas Holdings (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:384
China Gas Holdings
An investment holding company, operates as a gas operator and service provider in the People’s Republic of China.
Established dividend payer and fair value.