Stock Analysis

Hong Kong and China Gas (HKG:3) shareholders have endured a 20% loss from investing in the stock five years ago

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term The Hong Kong and China Gas Company Limited (HKG:3) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 37% over a half decade.

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the five years over which the share price declined, Hong Kong and China Gas' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 0.4% each year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 9% per year, over the period. This implies that the market is more cautious about the business these days.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:3 Earnings Per Share Growth September 7th 2025

Dive deeper into Hong Kong and China Gas' key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Hong Kong and China Gas's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Hong Kong and China Gas' TSR for the last 5 years was -20%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Hong Kong and China Gas shareholders gained a total return of 17% during the year. But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 4% endured over half a decade. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Hong Kong and China Gas , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

Mobile Infrastructure for Defense and Disaster

The next wave in robotics isn't humanoid. Its fully autonomous towers delivering 5G, ISR, and radar in under 30 minutes, anywhere.

Get the investor briefing before the next round of contracts

Sponsored On Behalf of CiTech

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hong Kong and China Gas might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:3

Hong Kong and China Gas

Produces, distributes, and markets gas, water supply and energy services in Hong Kong and Mainland China.

Proven track record second-rate dividend payer.

Weekly Picks

WO
MGPI logo
woodworthfund on MGP Ingredients ·

THE KINGDOM OF BROWN GOODS: WHY MGPI IS BEING CRUSHED BY INVENTORY & PRIMED FOR RESURRECTION

Fair Value:US$4035.0% undervalued
27 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative
DO
Double_Bubbler
EVTL logo
Double_Bubbler on Vertical Aerospace ·

Why Vertical Aerospace (NYSE: EVTL) is Worth Possibly Over 13x its Current Price

Fair Value:US$6090.4% undervalued
26 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
19 users have liked this narrative
TI
TickerTickle
ORCL logo
TickerTickle on Oracle ·

The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid

Fair Value:US$389.8151.3% undervalued
49 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

BE
Bejgal
FVRR logo
Bejgal on Fiverr International ·

Fiverr International will transform the freelance industry with AI-powered growth

Fair Value:US$43.3352.3% undervalued
82 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
JHG logo
yiannisz on Janus Henderson Group ·

Jackson Financial Stock: When Insurance Math Meets a Shifting Claims Landscape

Fair Value:US$41.459.8% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
LRN logo
yiannisz on Stride ·

Stride Stock: Online Education Finds Its Second Act

Fair Value:US$5126.5% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.4% undervalued
120 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8683.7% undervalued
78 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
21 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3930.1% undervalued
968 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative