When researching a stock for investment, what can tell us that the company is in decline? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. This reveals that the company isn't compounding shareholder wealth because returns are falling and its net asset base is shrinking. Having said that, after a brief look, CLP Holdings (HKG:2) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for CLP Holdings, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.028 = HK$5.3b ÷ (HK$236b - HK$44b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
Therefore, CLP Holdings has an ROCE of 2.8%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 3.4%.
See our latest analysis for CLP Holdings
Above you can see how the current ROCE for CLP Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
SWOT Analysis for CLP Holdings
- Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows.
- Earnings declined over the past year.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Electric Utilities market.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market.
- Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
- Dividends are not covered by earnings.
- Annual revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years.
So How Is CLP Holdings' ROCE Trending?
There is reason to be cautious about CLP Holdings, given the returns are trending downwards. To be more specific, the ROCE was 9.8% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect CLP Holdings to turn into a multi-bagger.
Our Take On CLP Holdings' ROCE
All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last five years have experienced a 14% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for CLP Holdings (of which 1 is significant!) that you should know about.
While CLP Holdings isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:2
CLP Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity in Hong Kong, Mainland China, India Thailand, Taiwan, and Australia.
Average dividend payer low.
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