Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating CGN Power (HKG:1816), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for CGN Power:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.07 = CN¥23b ÷ (CN¥402b - CN¥73b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).
Thus, CGN Power has an ROCE of 7.0%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 6.6%, it's still a low return by itself.
Our analysis indicates that 1816 is potentially undervalued!
In the above chart we have measured CGN Power's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering CGN Power here for free.
How Are Returns Trending?
There hasn't been much to report for CGN Power's returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if CGN Power doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time. This probably explains why CGN Power is paying out 46% of its income to shareholders in the form of dividends. Given the business isn't reinvesting in itself, it makes sense to distribute a portion of earnings among shareholders.
The Bottom Line
In a nutshell, CGN Power has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. And with the stock having returned a mere 2.6% in the last five years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. Therefore, if you're looking for a multi-bagger, we'd propose looking at other options.
CGN Power does come with some risks though, we found 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is potentially serious...
While CGN Power may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1816
CGN Power
Generates and sells nuclear power in the People’s Republic of China.
Established dividend payer and good value.