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These 4 Measures Indicate That China Datang Corporation Renewable Power (HKG:1798) Is Using Debt Extensively
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that China Datang Corporation Renewable Power Co., Limited (HKG:1798) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for China Datang Corporation Renewable Power
What Is China Datang Corporation Renewable Power's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2021 China Datang Corporation Renewable Power had debt of CN¥44.6b, up from CN¥38.6b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥2.64b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥42.0b.
How Strong Is China Datang Corporation Renewable Power's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China Datang Corporation Renewable Power had liabilities of CN¥19.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥44.5b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.64b and CN¥16.3b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥44.9b.
This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥17.6b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, China Datang Corporation Renewable Power would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
While China Datang Corporation Renewable Power's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.6) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.5, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. On a lighter note, we note that China Datang Corporation Renewable Power grew its EBIT by 25% in the last year. If it can maintain that kind of improvement, its debt load will begin to melt away like glaciers in a warming world. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China Datang Corporation Renewable Power's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, China Datang Corporation Renewable Power saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, China Datang Corporation Renewable Power's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that China Datang Corporation Renewable Power's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for China Datang Corporation Renewable Power (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:1798
China Datang Corporation Renewable Power
Engages in the development, investment, construction, and management of wind, solar, and biomass power sources the People's Republic of China.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.