Stock Analysis

Investors Will Want China Tian Lun Gas Holdings' (HKG:1600) Growth In ROCE To Persist

SEHK:1600
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at China Tian Lun Gas Holdings (HKG:1600) so let's look a bit deeper.

What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on China Tian Lun Gas Holdings is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.16 = CN¥1.5b ÷ (CN¥15b - CN¥4.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).

Therefore, China Tian Lun Gas Holdings has an ROCE of 16%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 8.9% generated by the Gas Utilities industry.

See our latest analysis for China Tian Lun Gas Holdings

roce
SEHK:1600 Return on Capital Employed September 15th 2021

In the above chart we have measured China Tian Lun Gas Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

The Trend Of ROCE

We like the trends that we're seeing from China Tian Lun Gas Holdings. The numbers show that in the last five years, the returns generated on capital employed have grown considerably to 16%. The amount of capital employed has increased too, by 54%. This can indicate that there's plenty of opportunities to invest capital internally and at ever higher rates, a combination that's common among multi-baggers.

For the record though, there was a noticeable increase in the company's current liabilities over the period, so we would attribute some of the ROCE growth to that. Essentially the business now has suppliers or short-term creditors funding about 34% of its operations, which isn't ideal. Keep an eye out for future increases because when the ratio of current liabilities to total assets gets particularly high, this can introduce some new risks for the business.

The Bottom Line On China Tian Lun Gas Holdings' ROCE

In summary, it's great to see that China Tian Lun Gas Holdings can compound returns by consistently reinvesting capital at increasing rates of return, because these are some of the key ingredients of those highly sought after multi-baggers. Investors may not be impressed by the favorable underlying trends yet because over the last five years the stock has only returned 31% to shareholders. Given that, we'd look further into this stock in case it has more traits that could make it multiply in the long term.

One more thing, we've spotted 3 warning signs facing China Tian Lun Gas Holdings that you might find interesting.

While China Tian Lun Gas Holdings may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SEHK:1600

Tian Lun Gas Holdings

Engages in the transportation, distribution, and sale of natural gas and compressed natural gas through its gas pipeline connections in the People’ Republic of China.

Fair value with mediocre balance sheet.

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