Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That ELL Environmental Holdings (HKG:1395) Is Using Debt Extensively

SEHK:1395
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, ELL Environmental Holdings Limited (HKG:1395) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for ELL Environmental Holdings

How Much Debt Does ELL Environmental Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 ELL Environmental Holdings had HK$167.4m of debt, an increase on HK$74.3m, over one year. On the flip side, it has HK$34.6m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$132.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1395 Debt to Equity History June 2nd 2023

A Look At ELL Environmental Holdings' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that ELL Environmental Holdings had liabilities of HK$155.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$72.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had HK$34.6m in cash and HK$28.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$164.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of HK$219.2m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on ELL Environmental Holdings' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

ELL Environmental Holdings has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.9 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.2 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Another concern for investors might be that ELL Environmental Holdings's EBIT fell 18% in the last year. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is ELL Environmental Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, ELL Environmental Holdings burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, ELL Environmental Holdings's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its interest cover fails to inspire much confidence. We should also note that Water Utilities industry companies like ELL Environmental Holdings commonly do use debt without problems. Overall, it seems to us that ELL Environmental Holdings's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for ELL Environmental Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.