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- SEHK:1193
China Resources Gas Group (HKG:1193) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after investigating China Resources Gas Group (HKG:1193), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for China Resources Gas Group, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = HK$7.9b ÷ (HK$112b - HK$46b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
Therefore, China Resources Gas Group has an ROCE of 12%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Gas Utilities industry average of 7.3% it's much better.
Check out our latest analysis for China Resources Gas Group
In the above chart we have measured China Resources Gas Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering China Resources Gas Group here for free.
SWOT Analysis for China Resources Gas Group
- Debt is well covered by earnings.
- Earnings declined over the past year.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Gas Utilities market.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years.
- Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
- Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
- Paying a dividend but company has no free cash flows.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market.
What Does the ROCE Trend For China Resources Gas Group Tell Us?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at China Resources Gas Group doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 12% from 15% five years ago. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that China Resources Gas Group has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 41%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
The Bottom Line On China Resources Gas Group's ROCE
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for China Resources Gas Group. These trends don't appear to have influenced returns though, because the total return from the stock has been mostly flat over the last five years. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
China Resources Gas Group does have some risks though, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for China Resources Gas Group that you might be interested in.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1193
China Resources Gas Group
An investment holding company, engages in the sale of natural and liquefied gas, and connection of gas pipelines.
Good value with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.
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