MTR Corporation Limited

SEHK:66 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$163.6b

MTR Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

MTR's earnings are forecast to decline at 10.6% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 3% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 11.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 5.6% in 3 years.

Key information

-10.6%

Earnings growth rate

-11.20%

EPS growth rate

Transportation earnings growth2.0%
Revenue growth rate3.0%
Future return on equity5.56%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated25 Aug 2025

Recent future growth updates

MTR Corporation Limited Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Aug 18
MTR Corporation Limited Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Results: MTR Corporation Limited Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Sep 16
Results: MTR Corporation Limited Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Recent updates

MTR's (HKG:66) Dividend Will Be HK$0.42

Aug 19
MTR's (HKG:66) Dividend Will Be HK$0.42

MTR Corporation Limited Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

Aug 18
MTR Corporation Limited Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

There's Reason For Concern Over MTR Corporation Limited's (HKG:66) Price

Jul 21
There's Reason For Concern Over MTR Corporation Limited's (HKG:66) Price

Is Now The Time To Put MTR (HKG:66) On Your Watchlist?

Jun 30
Is Now The Time To Put MTR (HKG:66) On Your Watchlist?

Is MTR (HKG:66) A Risky Investment?

Jun 14
Is MTR (HKG:66) A Risky Investment?

This Is Why MTR Corporation Limited's (HKG:66) CEO Compensation Looks Appropriate

May 14
This Is Why MTR Corporation Limited's (HKG:66) CEO Compensation Looks Appropriate

MTR (HKG:66) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of HK$0.89

May 12
MTR (HKG:66) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of HK$0.89

MTR (HKG:66) Will Pay A Dividend Of HK$0.89

Apr 10
MTR (HKG:66) Will Pay A Dividend Of HK$0.89
User avatar

Heavy Railway Investments Will Compress Future Net Margins

Large financial commitments toward railway expansion and asset maintenance may pressure net margins and limit future revenue generation.

MTR (HKG:66) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of HK$0.89

Mar 09
MTR (HKG:66) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of HK$0.89

Here's Why MTR (HKG:66) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Mar 07
Here's Why MTR (HKG:66) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In MTR Corporation Limited (HKG:66)

Jan 27
Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In MTR Corporation Limited (HKG:66)

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About MTR's (HKG:66) Returns On Capital

Jan 06
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About MTR's (HKG:66) Returns On Capital

MTR (HKG:66) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Nov 27
MTR (HKG:66) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Investors Interested In MTR Corporation Limited's (HKG:66) Earnings

Oct 04
Investors Interested In MTR Corporation Limited's (HKG:66) Earnings

Results: MTR Corporation Limited Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Sep 16
Results: MTR Corporation Limited Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Some Investors May Be Worried About MTR's (HKG:66) Returns On Capital

Sep 04
Some Investors May Be Worried About MTR's (HKG:66) Returns On Capital

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:66 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (HKD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202760,65511,446-8,69317,86810
12/31/202658,08715,903-7,03018,31512
12/31/202556,66615,246-4,40414,1377
6/30/202558,10017,461-4,25616,793N/A
3/31/202559,05616,617-2,88717,642N/A
12/31/202460,01115,772-1,51818,491N/A
9/30/202459,34512,711-41916,999N/A
6/30/202458,6799,65068015,506N/A
3/31/202457,8318,717-22813,352N/A
12/31/202356,9827,784-1,13611,197N/A
9/30/202354,6688,529-7,3169,025N/A
6/30/202352,3539,273-13,4976,852N/A
3/31/202350,0839,550-13,0126,805N/A
12/31/202247,8129,827-12,5276,757N/A
9/30/202247,86510,719-7,1656,895N/A
6/30/202247,91811,611-1,8037,032N/A
3/31/202247,56010,582-1,4867,252N/A
12/31/202147,2029,552-1,1707,472N/A
9/30/202145,2343,875-1,8575,879N/A
6/30/202143,266-1,802-2,5444,285N/A
3/31/202142,904-3,305-3,9472,529N/A
12/31/202042,541-4,809-5,350772N/A
9/30/202045,183642-3,3334,237N/A
6/30/202047,8246,092-1,3177,702N/A
3/31/202051,1649,0123,35212,373N/A
12/31/201954,50411,9328,02017,043N/A
9/30/201955,16713,1828,87016,617N/A
6/30/201955,82914,4319,72016,190N/A
3/31/201954,88015,220N/A13,570N/A
12/31/201853,93016,008N/A10,950N/A
9/30/201852,87016,220N/A13,196N/A
6/30/201851,80916,432N/A15,442N/A
3/31/201853,62516,631N/A17,523N/A
12/31/201755,44016,829N/A19,603N/A
9/30/201754,66314,721N/A18,104N/A
6/30/201753,88612,613N/A16,605N/A
3/31/201749,53811,434N/A16,870N/A
12/31/201645,18910,254N/A17,135N/A
9/30/201643,99410,090N/A15,922N/A
6/30/201642,7989,926N/A14,708N/A
3/31/201642,25011,460N/A14,825N/A
12/31/201541,70112,994N/A14,941N/A
9/30/201541,29814,439N/A15,814N/A
6/30/201540,89515,883N/A16,687N/A
3/31/201540,52615,745N/A16,366N/A
12/31/201440,15615,606N/A16,044N/A
9/30/201439,56015,193N/A15,918N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 66's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-10.6% per year).

Earnings vs Market: 66's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-10.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 66's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 66's revenue (3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (8.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 66's revenue (3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 66's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.6%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/09/02 16:51
End of Day Share Price 2025/09/02 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

MTR Corporation Limited is covered by 30 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Manfred HoBOCI Research Ltd.
Karl ChoiBofA Global Research
Aaron HoCFRA Equity Research