MTR Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
MTR is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 13.8% and 5.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 15.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7% in 3 years.
Key information
13.8%
Earnings growth rate
15.1%
EPS growth rate
| Transportation earnings growth | 10.3% |
| Revenue growth rate | 5.5% |
| Future return on equity | 7.0% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 11 Apr 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
MTR (HKG:66) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of HK$0.89
Apr 12
MTR (HKG:66) Has Announced A Dividend Of HK$0.89
Mar 10Investors Interested In MTR Corporation Limited's (HKG:66) Earnings
Feb 20Calculating The Fair Value Of MTR Corporation Limited (HKG:66)
Feb 01MTR (HKG:66) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends
Jan 15MTR (HKG:66) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky
Dec 28Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of MTR Corporation Limited (HKG:66)
Oct 25Capital Allocation Trends At MTR (HKG:66) Aren't Ideal
Oct 10MTR (HKG:66) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Sep 25MTR (HKG:66) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of HK$0.42
Aug 20Does This Valuation Of MTR Corporation Limited (HKG:66) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?
Jul 21Be Wary Of MTR (HKG:66) And Its Returns On Capital
Jun 27Is MTR (HKG:66) A Risky Investment?
Apr 16Returns At MTR (HKG:66) Appear To Be Weighed Down
Mar 06Is MTR Corporation Limited (HKG:66) Trading At A 42% Discount?
Dec 25Returns At MTR (HKG:66) Appear To Be Weighed Down
Dec 04Is MTR (HKG:66) Using Too Much Debt?
Sep 14An Intrinsic Calculation For MTR Corporation Limited (HKG:66) Suggests It's 28% Undervalued
Aug 24Returns At MTR (HKG:66) Appear To Be Weighed Down
Jun 28Does MTR (HKG:66) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
May 10Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of MTR Corporation Limited (HKG:66)
Mar 21MTR (HKG:66) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital
Dec 26MTR (HKG:66) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Sep 11Earnings Miss: MTR Corporation Limited Missed EPS By 41% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Aug 15MTR (HKG:66) Has Re-Affirmed Its Dividend Of HK$0.25
Aug 14Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For MTR (HKG:66)
Jul 12Is MTR (HKG:66) Using Too Much Debt?
Jun 07MTR (HKG:66) Has Some Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
Mar 23Can Mixed Financials Have A Negative Impact on MTR Corporation Limited's 's (HKG:66) Current Price Momentum?
Mar 02Should You Buy MTR Corporation Limited (HKG:66) For Its Dividend?
Feb 15Calculating The Fair Value Of MTR Corporation Limited (HKG:66)
Feb 01Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 65,467 | 15,725 | 11,435 | 26,536 | 4 |
| 12/31/2025 | 63,058 | 18,184 | 995 | 19,776 | 11 |
| 12/31/2024 | 60,023 | 16,115 | 11,376 | 15,535 | 9 |
| 12/31/2023 | 56,982 | 7,784 | -1,136 | 11,197 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 54,668 | 8,529 | -7,316 | 9,025 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 52,353 | 9,273 | -13,497 | 6,852 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 50,083 | 9,550 | -13,012 | 6,805 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 47,812 | 9,827 | -12,527 | 6,757 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 47,865 | 10,719 | -7,165 | 6,895 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 47,918 | 11,611 | -1,803 | 7,032 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 47,560 | 10,582 | -1,486 | 7,252 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 47,202 | 9,552 | -1,170 | 7,472 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 45,234 | 3,875 | -1,857 | 5,879 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 43,266 | -1,802 | -2,544 | 4,285 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 42,904 | -3,305 | -3,947 | 2,529 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 42,541 | -4,809 | -5,350 | 772 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 45,183 | 642 | -3,333 | 4,237 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 47,824 | 6,092 | -1,317 | 7,702 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 51,164 | 9,012 | 3,352 | 12,373 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 54,504 | 11,932 | 8,020 | 17,043 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 55,167 | 13,182 | 8,870 | 16,617 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 55,829 | 14,431 | 9,720 | 16,190 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 54,880 | 15,220 | 7,079 | 13,570 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 53,930 | 16,008 | 4,438 | 10,950 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 52,870 | 16,220 | 5,829 | 13,196 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 51,809 | 16,432 | 7,219 | 15,442 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 53,625 | 16,631 | 9,131 | 17,523 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 55,440 | 16,829 | 11,043 | 19,603 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 54,663 | 14,721 | N/A | 18,104 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 53,886 | 12,613 | N/A | 16,605 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 49,538 | 11,434 | N/A | 16,870 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 45,189 | 10,254 | N/A | 17,135 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 43,994 | 10,090 | N/A | 15,922 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 42,798 | 9,926 | N/A | 14,708 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 42,250 | 11,460 | N/A | 14,825 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 41,701 | 12,994 | N/A | 14,941 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 41,298 | 14,439 | N/A | 15,814 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 40,895 | 15,883 | N/A | 16,687 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 40,526 | 15,745 | N/A | 16,366 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 40,156 | 15,606 | N/A | 16,044 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 39,560 | 15,193 | N/A | 15,918 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 38,964 | 14,779 | N/A | 15,792 | N/A |
| 3/31/2014 | 38,836 | 13,902 | N/A | 15,278 | N/A |
| 12/31/2013 | 38,707 | 13,025 | N/A | 14,764 | N/A |
| 9/30/2013 | 38,253 | 13,387 | N/A | 14,192 | N/A |
| 6/30/2013 | 37,799 | 13,748 | N/A | 13,620 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: 66's forecast earnings growth (13.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2%).
Earnings vs Market: 66's earnings (13.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (11.4% per year).
High Growth Earnings: 66's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: 66's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Hong Kong market (7.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: 66's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: 66's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7%).