MTR Corporation Limited

SEHK:66 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$198.2b

MTR Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 3/6

MTR has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 32.9%, while the Transportation industry saw earnings declining at 2.5% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 7% per year. MTR's return on equity is 7.2%, and it has net margins of 26.5%.

Key information

32.87%

Earnings growth rate

32.78%

EPS growth rate

Transportation Industry Growth-8.27%
Revenue growth rate7.01%
Return on equity7.19%
Net Margin26.46%
Last Earnings Update31 Dec 2025

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 04

66: Higher Future P/E Expectations Will Support Repriced Earnings Multiple

Analysts now set their price target for MTR at roughly HK$39, compared with about HK$37 previously. This reflects refreshed assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations.
Narrative Update May 04

66: Housing Recovery Preference Will Limit Upside For This Transport Property Hybrid

Analysts have raised their price target for MTR Corp. to HK$36.10 from HK$31.30, while turning more cautious on the stock as they now prefer other Hong Kong developers for exposure to a potential housing market recovery.
Narrative Update Apr 19

66: Housing Recovery Exposure And Elevated P/E Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts have lifted their HK$ price target for MTR to HK$32.15 from HK$28.41, reflecting updated assumptions on profit margin, long term P/E and housing market exposure, even as some recent research has shifted its rating stance. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the higher HK$36.10 target as a sign that, on their assumptions, current pricing still leaves room for re rating if earnings and housing related contributions meet expectations.
Narrative Update Apr 05

66: Housing Recovery Preference Will Support Higher Margins And Repriced Earnings Multiple

Analysts have modestly lifted their price target on MTR to HK$36.10 from HK$31.30. They cited a shift in preference toward other Buy rated developers for Hong Kong housing recovery exposure, while still reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.
Narrative Update Mar 22

66: Housing Recovery Preference Will Support Higher Margins And Undervalued Earnings Multiple

Analysts have lifted their price target on MTR to HK$36.10 from HK$31.30, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, while still preferring other developer names for housing market exposure. Analyst Commentary The latest call on MTR includes a lower rating paired with a higher price target of HK$36.10, up from HK$31.30.
Narrative Update Mar 07

66: Fairly Valued Outlook Will Reflect Higher P/E And Housing Recovery Preference

Analysts have nudged their average price target for MTR to about HK$36.60 from HK$36.10, reflecting updated views on fair value and earnings assumptions, even as some recent research has shifted ratings toward Sell. Analyst Commentary Recent research on MTR has been mixed, with some investors rotating toward other Hong Kong housing plays while still adjusting their MTR price assumptions upward.
Narrative Update Feb 21

66: Fairly Valued Outlook Will Reflect Higher P/E And Housing Recovery Preference

Analysts have lifted their price target on MTR to HK$36.10 from HK$31.30, reflecting updated fair value assumptions and P/E expectations, while shifting their preference toward other developer names for Hong Kong housing recovery exposure. Analyst Commentary Goldman Sachs has shifted its rating on MTR Corp.
Narrative Update Feb 07

66: Stable Assumptions And Elevated P/E Will Restrain Future Returns

Analysts have made only marginal tweaks to their inputs for MTR, keeping the fair value estimate effectively unchanged at about $28.41. Small adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth outlook, profit margin and future P/E assumptions did not materially shift their overall price target view.
Analysis Article Jan 26

MTR Corporation Limited's (HKG:66) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't

It's not a stretch to say that MTR Corporation Limited's ( HKG:66 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.1x right...
Narrative Update Jan 24

66: Lower Margin Outlook And Rich P/E Will Pressure Future Returns

Analysts have raised their price target for MTR to $28.41 from $27.86, reflecting updated assumptions about discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Revised slightly higher from HK$27.86 to HK$28.41, reflecting updated model inputs.
Analysis Article Jan 08

Is Now The Time To Put MTR (HKG:66) On Your Watchlist?

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Narrative Update Jan 08

66: Higher Profitability Assumptions Will Support A Stronger Future P/E Multiple

Analysts have raised their price target on MTR from $32.00 to $35.55, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Valuation Changes Fair Value: revised from HK$32.00 to HK$35.55, indicating a higher assessed share value.
Analysis Article Dec 12

MTR (HKG:66) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect...
Narrative Update Sep 18

Excessive HK Investments Will Erode Margins And Earnings

MTR's consensus price target saw a marginal increase, supported by a slight improvement in net profit margin and a minor decline in future P/E, indicating marginally enhanced earnings quality and value, with fair value now at HK$27.86. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled to consider unaudited interim results and potential interim dividend for H1 2025.
Narrative Update Aug 27

Excessive HK Investments Will Erode Margins And Earnings

MTR's fair value was revised marginally lower, driven by a slight decrease in net profit margin and a small uptick in forward P/E, resulting in an updated consensus price target of HK$27.57. What's in the News MTR will hold a board meeting to consider announcing unaudited results for the six months ended 30 June 2025 and discuss an interim dividend.
Analysis Article Aug 19

MTR's (HKG:66) Dividend Will Be HK$0.42

MTR Corporation Limited's ( HKG:66 ) investors are due to receive a payment of HK$0.42 per share on 16th of September...
Analysis Article Aug 18

MTR Corporation Limited Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

SEHK:66 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore MTR's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Last week, you...
Analysis Article Jul 21

There's Reason For Concern Over MTR Corporation Limited's (HKG:66) Price

With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 12x in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven for feeling...
Analysis Article Jun 30

Is Now The Time To Put MTR (HKG:66) On Your Watchlist?

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
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New Narrative Mar 09

Heavy Railway Investments Will Compress Future Net Margins

Large financial commitments toward railway expansion and asset maintenance may pressure net margins and limit future revenue generation.

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How MTR makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

SEHK:66 Revenue, expenses and earnings (HKD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Dec 2555,46514,6771,2130
30 Sep 2556,78316,0691,2640
30 Jun 2558,10017,4611,3140
31 Mar 2559,05616,6171,3180
31 Dec 2460,01115,7721,3220
30 Sep 2459,34512,7111,2890
30 Jun 2458,6799,6501,2560
31 Mar 2457,8318,7171,2280
31 Dec 2356,9827,7841,2000
30 Sep 2354,6688,5291,2340
30 Jun 2352,3539,2731,2670
31 Mar 2350,0839,5501,2000
31 Dec 2247,8129,8271,1330
30 Sep 2247,86510,7191,0940
30 Jun 2247,91811,6111,0540
31 Mar 2247,56010,5821,0560
31 Dec 2147,2029,5521,0570
30 Sep 2145,2343,8751,0400
30 Jun 2143,266-1,8021,0230
31 Mar 2142,904-3,3051,0470
31 Dec 2042,541-4,8091,0710
30 Sep 2045,1836421,2670
30 Jun 2047,8246,0921,4620
31 Mar 2051,1649,0121,4360
31 Dec 1954,50411,9321,4100
30 Sep 1955,16713,1821,2680
30 Jun 1955,82914,4311,1250
31 Mar 1954,88015,2201,0790
31 Dec 1853,93016,0081,0320
30 Sep 1852,87016,2209840
30 Jun 1851,80916,4329360
31 Mar 1853,62516,6319230
31 Dec 1755,44016,8299100
30 Sep 1754,66314,7219360
30 Jun 1753,88612,6139620
31 Mar 1749,53811,4349770
31 Dec 1645,18910,2549920
30 Sep 1643,99410,0909550
30 Jun 1642,7989,9269170
31 Mar 1642,25011,4609000
31 Dec 1541,70112,9948820
30 Sep 1541,29814,4399860
30 Jun 1540,89515,8831,0890

Quality Earnings: 66 has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: 66's current net profit margins (26.5%) are higher than last year (26.3%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: 66 has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 32.9% per year.

Accelerating Growth: 66's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: 66 had negative earnings growth (-6.9%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Transportation industry average (-2.2%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: 66's Return on Equity (7.2%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/15 23:22
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/15 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

MTR Corporation Limited is covered by 29 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Karl ChoiBofA Global Research
Shui Lung ChoiCitigroup Inc
null nullCLSA