Stock Analysis

Blue River Holdings' (HKG:498) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

SEHK:498
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Blue River Holdings Limited's (HKG:498) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Blue River Holdings

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:498 Earnings and Revenue History July 6th 2021

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

To properly understand Blue River Holdings' profit results, we need to consider the HK$421m gain attributed to unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Blue River Holdings had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to March 2021. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Blue River Holdings.

Our Take On Blue River Holdings' Profit Performance

As previously mentioned, Blue River Holdings' large boost from unusual items won't be there indefinitely, so its statutory earnings are probably a poor guide to its underlying profitability. For this reason, we think that Blue River Holdings' statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you want to do dive deeper into Blue River Holdings, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Blue River Holdings.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Blue River Holdings' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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